The Ann Arbor Chronicle » Proposal A http://annarborchronicle.com it's like being there Wed, 26 Nov 2014 18:59:03 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.2 School Board Mulls Millage, Proposal A http://annarborchronicle.com/2012/10/10/school-board-mulls-millage-proposal-a/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=school-board-mulls-millage-proposal-a http://annarborchronicle.com/2012/10/10/school-board-mulls-millage-proposal-a/#comments Wed, 10 Oct 2012 16:16:36 +0000 Monet Tiedemann http://annarborchronicle.com/?p=98345 Ann Arbor Public Schools board of education committee of the whole meeting (Oct. 3, 2012): Trustees focused their committee meeting on the possibility of changing the district’s overall structural financial picture. They took care to contrast that effort with a different kind of discussion – about the budget. The topic of improving larger financial picture had been identified as one of the two goals for trustees at their August retreat. The other top goal was strengthening trust and building relationships among the board members.

AAPS board president Deb Mexicotte

AAPS board president Deb Mexicotte. (Photos by the writer.)

The board’s committee discussion centered on four main topics: vision; revenue enhancement; action needed by the state legislature; and communication.

Discussion of revenue enhancement was highlighted by the possibility of asking voters to approve an enhancement millage through the Washtenaw Intermediate School District – which would entail a countywide vote. Voters in 2009 rejected such a proposal, which would have resulted in a 2 mill tax for five years, starting in 2010. It was projected to raise $30 million annually, to be divided among the 10 school districts in Washtenaw County. The AAPS share would have been a bit over $11 million. Board discussion at the Oct. 3 committee meeting acknowledged the need to generate support for such a proposal in other districts in the county besides AAPS.

Discussion of possible lobbying efforts directed at the state legislature was highlighted by the possibility of amending Proposal A, passed in 1994, which limits the ability of local communities to levy increased taxes to support schools.

Preliminaries: Outlining the Conversation

Board president Deb Mexicotte began the committee of the whole (COTW) meeting by outlining the objectives for the evening’s discussion. She acknowledged the board has a large number of responsibilities over the course of the year, which include labor negotiations, the budget, student achievement, maintaining buildings and facilities, and strategic planning. She characterized the board’s work as “ongoing, omnipresent, and focused on getting the best outcomes for students.”

The evening’s COTW objective was to focus on an additional goal of working to create opportunities for additional financial support for the district. That goal was adopted by the board, based on discussion at a retreat held in August. Mexicotte asked trustees to think about the work they might do on that issue, what tasks it might give to the administration, and how that might be distributed over the course of the year.

Andy Thomas clarified that the discussion was separate from, and in addition to, any discussion about the annaul budget and how the budget will be structured in the upcoming year. Mexicotte concurred with Thomas, saying it was in no way a budget conversation.

Mexicotte opened up the floor for initial thoughts. As four headings to think through, she offered: legislation, revenue enhancement, communication, and policy. Christine Stead asked that vision and advocacy be added. The board ultimately focused its conversation on four areas: vision, revenue enhancement, legislative action [including advocacy], and communication.

Vision

Stead pushed for talking about a vision first, saying that it was a good way to get everyone on the same page. She wanted to focus on identifying something specific so they could use that to frame everything else they did.

Vision: General Discussion

Irene Patalan said that for many citizens, education is the reason why they come to Ann Arbor She cited many of the “best of” lists that Ann Arbor lands on, saying that people make the choice to live here – and that it means the district is on the right track.

When Glenn Nelson asked how the strategic plan fit into the overall vision, Stead identified Strategic Plan Goal #8: “We will ensure adequate resources to accomplish our mission and goal” as possibly being enough to encompass the vision statement. Mexicotte wondered if that statement was aspirational enough. She then highlighted the word “adequate” in the goal and asked if the district’s resources are adequate. Several trustees said no.

Nelson cited recent reports on the Achievement Gap Elimination Plan, discipline gap reports, and emotional and social learning, saying that the district is tightly constricted by resources. He said that it was hard to treat students as individuals in the context of larger class sizes.

Stead said she would like to flesh out exactly what “adequate” or “inadequate” means – based on a cost analysis. Mexicotte replied that the meeting was the board’s session and the goals was the board’s goal. If the trustees believed the district didn’t have the resources, then that was what they believed, Mexicotte said. She focused the board’s attention on the question of what it would take to conclude that the district has adequate resources. She said that at some point, trustees had decided that the district has crossed a threshold – that makes them believe the district doesn’t have adequate resources.

Patalan mentioned that class size could be a focus. Class sizes are bigger than they feel comfortable with, she said. Mexicotte replied that if the board agreed that one of the sticking points is class size, then direction needs to be given to the administration to increase hiring, or the board needs to decide what else might be done.

While Nelson said he agreed with Patalan that class size is important, he also didn’t think that should be the main focus. To him, building a world class education should be first and foremost. He compared the tuition of Greenhills School [$19,290 for middle school; $19,680 for high school] to the AAPS foundation allowance of $9,020 per student. While he was careful to say that the difference between the numbers should not be the focus, he said the magnitude of the issue was not just an additional $1,000 per student.

Simone Lightfoot advocated for thinking “outside the box” when talking about “what it takes.” Restoring positions was one approach, but there were other innovative ways of dealing with large class sizes – or increasing test scores, no matter the class size. She wanted to think “radically different” and go to the teachers, students, and principals to ask them how to tackle the issue of class size.

The trustees talked over some of the districts that could serve as benchmarks. Mexicotte said there were some comparable districts in Illinois and New York that receive $16,000 to $17,000 per student. Nelson said he believed that benchmarking the district to other excellent districts around the nation, such as Brookline Public Schools in Massachusetts, might be useful – to give the community a better idea of what can be done, instead of appealing to the abstraction of “we need another $9,000 to do a good job.”

About district achievement, Mexicotte said, AAPS scores were better than other Michigan districts that receive the same or a greater amount of money. If the district could somehow get an additional $7,000 per student, that would “feel great,” and the district could do amazing things. Even with strangled funding, the district was maintaining high excellence, she said.

Stead offered her Christmas list: target classroom sizes set by grade level; increased time in school for all students; and a globally competitive curriculum. For Stead, a globally competitive curriculum means a robust arts program, IT and business courses, as well as rigorous math, language, and science courses. She would also like to see adequate counseling and behavioral support, adequate professional development time for staff, and rewards for top performers.

AAPS trustee Susan Baskett

AAPS trustee Susan Baskett

Mexicotte’s frequent rejoinder was “What would it take?” She asked trustees to identify the steps they needed to implement, if they identified a list similar to Stead’s. Mexicotte listed several options: hiring a consultant to do a cost-based analysis; tasking deputy superintendent for operations Robert Allen with an analysis; or choosing a trustee to lead the work.

Nelson argued for a more incremental approach. He cautioned against suggesting too big of an increase per pupil – so that the public doesn’t think the board is being unrealistic. If board members defined two or three things they identified as the highest priorities, then it would give them more focus, he said.

Mexicotte reaffirmed that the key was to think aspirationally. She noted that they had asked the administration to support a zero-based budget, to work from the ground up. She said that would give the opportunity to shake the budget out and have the aspirational goals meet the budget on top. Quiet through the discussion, Susan Baskett said she would like to get past the vision discussion. Mexicotte replied that, to her, vision was the “silken cord.”

Vision: Next Steps

Trustees determined that strategic goal #8 would suffice as a vision statement. To help them better define what “adequate” means for student education, the trustees asked that the administration analyze the cost associated with target class sizes. They also determined they would direct the administration to ask for feedback from staff on class size and resources.

Revenue Enhancement

The second area of focus was on revenue enhancement. Mexicotte led the discussion, asking for ideas to increase revenue. Several possibilities were identified: passing a countywide educational millage; increasing and maintaining enrollment by focusing on schools of choice; competing with charter schools; emphasizing customer service; renewing the sinking fund set to expire in 2014; and exploring the district’s real estate assets.

Revenue Enhancement: Countywide Millage

In terms of dollars, a countywide educational millage would impact the district most, Stead said. She noted that if the previous countywide 2-mill tax increase had been approved by voters in November 2009, over $11 million would have been generated for the district. She acknowledged that because an enhancement millage had to be approved by voters countywide, generating support of the other communities in the county would be essential. She estimated that it would take more than a year to create a compelling enough story – a story that drew upon benefits to the economy, increased property values, and better educational attainment for the community – to garner enough support throughout the county. Anything short of that would not be successful, Stead said.

Thomas said that they could expect some opposition to a countywide effort. Based on the outcome of the millage vote in 2009, he said, it’s apparent that a plurality in Ann Arbor is not sufficient to carry a countywide millage. So the district would need to start making contact with the surrounding school districts. He suggested reaching out to the boards, PTAs and PTOs, and area chambers of commerce to “tip the balance a little bit.”

Mexicotte followed up on the remarks made by Thomas, saying that it sounded to her that he was recommending the board take some kind of leadership role in doing advocacy outreach to neighboring communities. The trustees agreed that was something they wanted to do. To spread out that work, Mexicotte suggested the board could start by approaching the stakeholders in the county to help build a consortium. Nelson said they should craft a clear position piece that explains in detail why it was a good thing for all communities involved.

Revenue Enhancement: Increasing and Maintaining Enrollment

Thomas said that if the district could enroll 50 students who live in the district but currently attend charter schools, an additional $450,000 in revenue would come to AAPS. Baskett added that they have to remember the surest way to get more revenue is to bring in more students. While acknowledging AAPS was not losing as many students as other area school districts, Baskett said she didn’t believe AAPS is doing an adequate job of keeping the students it already has.

Continuing that thought, Nelson said that customer service needed to be a real focus. Parents and students need to know the district really wants them to come to AAPS. He gave school tours as an example, saying that prospective students need to feel welcomed into a school by all staff. Patalan supported Nelson’s focus on customer service. She suggested asking principals for reasons families have cited for their decision to leave the district. While their evidence may be anecdotal, principals could still provide some insight into the issue. Superintendent Patricia Green also said that principals could be a good source of information about this problem.

Concerned that focusing solely on principal input would be too unreliable, Baskett wanted to know if there was an adequate exit survey for families leaving the district. An exit survey could give an analysis of loss of students in the district, she said. Thomas agreed, adding that he wanted to understand why a family might attend AAPS for the first three years of school, then leave the district. He referenced previous data from Jane Landefeld, director of student accounting and research services, that had indicated a loss of 50 to 60 students per grade cohort. Mexicotte acknowledged that churn of students could be worth targeting.

Echoing the call for feedback from departing families, Lightfoot said that they needed to talk more with the customer – that is, students and families. Although there is currently a climate survey that gathers some of that information, Lightfoot said that with additional questions, they could get better insight into what’s happening in the schools.

From left: Christine Stead and Irene Patalan

From left: Christine Stead and Irene Patalan

Saying she was less interested in a comprehensive entrance and exit survey, Stead wanted to focus on forward-looking initiatives. She contended that AAPS needs to be more competitive to keep students in the district. As some specific actions that could have significant results, Stead suggested: timing the district’s marketing efforts to match other schools in the area; holding more open houses; and communicating district achievements better.

Revenue Enhancement: Sinking-fund Millage

Nelson identified the 1.00 mill sinking-fund millage – set to expire December 2014 – as a source of additional revenue. [A sinking-fund is a limited property tax for addressing building remodeling projects. State law allows a district to levy up to five mills, for no longer than 20 years.] A sinking fund millage is important enough that it can be ignored until just before it expires, Nelson argued. He wanted to focus on providing information to citizens by the fall of 2013.

Revenue Enhancement: Real Estate

Lightfoot suggested looking at all real estate owned by AAPS as possible revenue generators – either through lease or sale. Mexicotte agreed that getting a list of all the district’s property holdings could be useful. She also observed that if the district were to sell off property, it would be a one-time only deal.

Revenue Enhancement: Next Steps

The trustees identified several next steps for revenue enhancement. Nelson and Stead will spearhead the effort to make a case for a countywide education millage, putting together a cohesive description of the case and consequences for other districts in the county. Nelson will also work towards identifying needs for highlighting a renewal of the sinking fund millage in 2014.

To work towards maintaining and increasing enrollment, Baskett will explore timing the district’s marketing to be competitive with other area schools. While Stead said they already knew when schools such as Greenhills were placing advertising inserts into the New York Times, Baskett will formalize that knowledge. Patalan and the administration were tasked with working on an exit survey for students.

AAPS administration will give trustees a comprehensive list of real estate assets and an estimate of their value. The list will be included in the enrollment and demographic information presentation in December. The report may also include information such as easements and maps, to determine if the land is buildable.

Legislative Action

The trustees discussed several areas of legislative reform. They centered around amending Proposal A, working to achieve local levy authority, and working cross-governmentally.

Legislative Action: Amending Proposal A

Stead suggested amending Proposal A as a worthwhile goal for the board. [Proposal A was passed in 1994 to allow for distribution of state school aid fund revenues through a new foundation grant funding system]. She suggested lobbying for local levy authority, where local districts would be allowed to ask their own communities for support. Currently, the local option requires all member districts of a countywide intermediate school district to ask all voters in a group of districts for for an enhancement millage.

According to Stead, since the adoption of Proposal A in 1994, 76% of the 6 mills of revenue raised in Ann Arbor does not come back to AAPS through allocation from the state’s school aid fund. Stead said that back in 1994, sharing about half may have sounded reasonable. But the truth is, she said, is that more than half of what Ann Arbor property owners pay in taxes for schools is not returned to the district. So when people say they pay a lot of taxes in Ann Arbor for the schools, Stead agreed  – and said that it strikes her as an inappropriate amount.

Nelson noted that he has submitted a proposal to the Oxford Foundation-Michigan for a proposed revision of the law that deals with the enhancement millage. In his proposal, Ann Arbor would not keep all the money it raises through taxes. However, Nelson’s proposal would allow voters in local school districts to pass an enhancement millage of no more than 3 mills – with the constraint that no school would receive net revenue per student exceeding the amount consistent with average property wealth in the intermediate school district (ISD). He offered it up as one way of restoring local levy power.

Andy Thomas

Andy Thomas

Thomas pointed out that they would need to find natural allies around the state to push for any kind of legislative change at the state level. He said that legislators from local districts are supportive, but they would be facing a “stiff headwind” across the state. Nelson suggested that other 20j districts might be those natural allies.

By way of background, Section 20j of the School Aid Act makes calculations for “hold-harmless districts.” At the time of Proposal A’s enactment in 1994, some school districts’ foundation allowances exceeded the established  $6,500 per-pupil base level set by the state. Rather than have their funding lowered, the “hold harmless” districts were allowed to levy an additional millage to make up the gap. AAPS was one of those districts.

There was, however, a section in the revised school code that limited the growth of hold-harmless foundation allowances to the lesser of (1) the increase in the base level and (2) the rate of inflation. In 1999-2000, an inflationary increase of only 1.6% created a scenario in which giving the hold-harmless districts the full increase in the base level would have raised their grants higher than the rate of inflation. So Section 20j was created to provide hold harmless-districts the same foundation increase as other schools. In 2009, Section 20j was line-item vetoed by then-governor Granholm – which meant that districts previously identified as 20j schools saw a greater percentage decrease in school funding than other districts.

Legislative Action: Local Levy Authority

Mexicotte argued that if the district had local levy authority for the sinking fund, it could be used to pay for a broader range of expenses. [Currently the sinking fund can be used only for a limited set of expenditures, including major building renovation and the purchase of property.]

Thomas agreed and said that he took issue with laws that determined what schools could use funds for. As they think through the issues and challenges of transportation, Thomas said, it would be nice to have such a change enacted so charging for transportation could be a possibility. Mexicotte said that having access to such a common sense solution would be ideal, but state law did not allow it.

Baskett said she would like to engage the legislature on mandated costs that don’t make sense – such as paying into Michigan Public Schools Employees Retirement System (MPSERS) for employees who would not likely be able to access the pension. [One example is noon hour supervisors, which were discussed by trustees at the Sept. 19, 2012 board meeting. The board will vote on an outsourcing contract for noon hour supervisors at its Oct. 10 meeting]. Lightfoot suggested that talking about mandates, sinking fund allocation, and transportation might be an easier way of getting allies across the state.

When Mexicotte asked about working to change MPSERS, there was silence in the room – until Nelson said that the problem with MPSERS was that current public employees are paying for the mistakes of people years ago. Stead ventured that as a system, the state is weaker for the changes that have been made.

Legislative Action: Cross-Governmental Cooperation

Lightfoot promoted the idea of talking with the Ann Arbor Transportation Authority (AATA) and the University of Michigan to develop cross-governmental relationships to improve the district. Baskett said that it would benefit the district to advocate for various initiatives led by other entities like AATA, because their successful initiatives could benefit the district’s students.

Trying to determine how such advocacy would fit into the board’s financial goal, Mexicotte pressed for a connection. Baskett said that if the board advocated for AATA, transportation might not be as great a worry. She specifically mentioned AATA bus routes that now run past the Roberto Clemente Student Development Center, which could help reduce district transportation costs.

Legislative Action: Restoration of K-12 Funding

The trustees briefly discussed pursuing legal action to restore K-12 funding. In 2011, funding for K-12 schools was diverted to support state aid for community colleges and the state’s 15 public universities. While trustees agreed that they would like to see this funding restored, they also decided to wait until there was a better judicial climate to pursue it. Lightfoot, however, said she was not concerned with the opinions of legislators and justices. If restoring K-12 funding was important, then it should be funded.

Legislative Action: Miscellaneous

As the trustees brainstormed, several other suggestions were offered. Baskett said the district should have a presence at various educational workshops around the state – to be more “vocal and visible,” as Mexicotte put it. To target issues that might be worthwhile to pursue, Lightfoot suggested asking Robert Allen and his operations team to identify issues that have state implications.

Legislative Action: Next Steps

Putting together a case for amending Proposal A will be the joint responsibility of Lightfoot, Nelson, and Stead. They will be focusing on restoring local levy authority and local enhancement millages. Because Nelson and Lightfoot are already on the transportation committee, it was agreed that it made sense that they pursue advocacy opportunities with AATA.

Communication

Mexicotte felt that the trustees need to be more communicative with the public about what they’re doing and the goals they’re working towards. She asked the other trustees what steps they needed to take in order to be better communicators.

The board president’s report, Patalan offered, could be a useful tool for communicating with the public. During each regular board meeting, Mexicotte has the opportunity to report out as the board president. She has used that opportunity to update the community on the COTW work being done. Patalan suggested there should be an on-going report on progress towards financial goals.

Communication: Next Steps

Mexicotte said she would use the formalized board report to communicate better with the public. Nelson said that until they narrowed their focus, he wanted the narrative of the evening’s work to be that they had a “really good” meeting on discussing what they were going to do.

Present: President Deb Mexicotte, vice president Christine Stead, secretary Andy Thomas, treasurer Irene Patalan, and trustees Susan Baskett, Simone Lightfoot, and Glenn Nelson.

Next regular meeting: Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2012, at 7 p.m. at the fourth-floor boardroom of the Ann Arbor District Library’s downtown branch, 343 S. Fifth Ave. [confirm date]

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County Board: Plan For Worst, Hope For Best http://annarborchronicle.com/2009/02/22/county-board-plan-for-worst-hope-for-best/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=county-board-plan-for-worst-hope-for-best http://annarborchronicle.com/2009/02/22/county-board-plan-for-worst-hope-for-best/#comments Sun, 22 Feb 2009 15:25:29 +0000 Mary Morgan http://annarborchronicle.com/?p=14235 Washtenaw County Board of Commissioners (Feb. 18, 2009): Commissioners got another cold blast of economic reality at their most recent board meeting, as county staff laid out revenue projections for 2010-11 and asked for feedback about how cautious they should be in planning for the future. Pretty darn cautious was the general consensus among commissioners, saying it would be easier to deal with the budget if their projections proved too pessimistic than if they planned for higher revenue that never materialized.

County administrator Bob Guenzel and his staff also presented various scenarios for increasing revenues, as points of discussion, not recommendations. Those included a couple of options to raise or reapportion taxes that would require voter approval and appeared to have little traction among commissioners at this point.

The discussion was part of an ongoing effort to deal with a budget crisis faced by the county and other local governments as the economy brutalizes this region and the nation. Two weeks ago, Guenzel gave commissioners a best case/worst case budget scenario that included potential deficits of up to $28 million for 2010-11, unless revenues increase or expenses are slashed.

Revenue Projections

At Wednesday’s meeting, Guenzel began by reminding commissioners that projections could change as the months progress. He described the 16 revenue sources that account for about 95% of all general fund revenues. They include property taxes (by far the largest source), fees collected by the registrar of deeds and drain commission, state revenue sharing dollars, state cigarette and liquor taxes, court fees, ordinance fees and interest income, among others.

The county’s treasurer, Catherine McClary, was on hand to discuss the interest income piece of the budget’s revenue. Two factors are at play, she said: Interest rates, and the amount of county funds available to invest. In both cases, the news isn’t good. Interest rates fell by half over the past year, from just over 5% to 2.5%. A three-month Treasury bill is under 1% now, she said. The county’s investments are still holding at about 2%, she said, thanks to prior investments. Her staff is working on interest income projections for the coming budget cycle.

A state-mandated change in the timing of local tax collection is also having an impact. Over the past few years, county tax collection has shifted from December to July. Today, all county taxes are collected in July. That’s causing cash-flow issues, as the county must spend money before its mid-year tax collection. To deal with that, the county borrows money from its state revenue-sharing reserve fund, transferring it into the general fund to cover expenses.

Foreclosures are also an issue. McClary told commissioners that earlier in the day, she’d had to file property tax foreclosures on 102 properties – a record number, despite her office’s efforts to work with homeowners to prevent that from happening. (The owners have until March 31 to redeem their property by paying their tax bills, so the final number will be lower, she said.) Last year, the treasurer’s office foreclosed on 26 properties, with 16 ultimately not redeemed.

McClary said the county is working under tremendous constraints right now, and to the extent commissioners can make budget decisions as early as possible, “the county will be in a much better position.”

Shifting The Fiscal Year – Or Not

Jennifer Watson, the county’s budget manager, presented two options related to shifting the county’s fiscal year, which is currently tied to a calendar year. She noted that the county doesn’t receive its equalization report – which tells them how much they’ll be collecting in taxes – until April. That means they’re already four months into the fiscal year before they have firm revenue numbers, and if the projected revenue turns out to be lower than expected, they’re forced to cut expenses to balance the budget. Guenzel said the options were in response to at least two commissioners who’d wondered whether shifting to a fiscal year that started in July or October would help with these issues.

Both options would result in financial challenges, however. Starting the fiscal year in July would mean that the first six months of the year would be unfunded initially. Starting in October means the county would go through seven months of its fiscal year before getting the April equalization report, which could then require significant adjustments.

Commissioner Mark Ouimet, a former banking executive, expressed concern about the county’s cash position. Shifting the fiscal year would mean that the county’s cash needs would be even greater. And noting that he’d made this point before, he said that focusing on the balance sheet – rather than on the county’s income statement – would be critical in the planning process.

Commissioner Kristin Judge, in a comment that garnered some laughs, asked if she’d missed something in the analysis of fiscal year options: “It sounded like one was bad and the other one was bad.”

Later in the meeting, McClary told commissioners she would not recommend shifting fiscal years, calling it a gimmick the state already used that’s resulted in cash-flow problems. McClary also pointed out that general fund revenues – about $104 million – accounted for only half of the county’s budget, though the other half consisted primarily of  restricted funds. However, she said those non-general fund monies are being invested and used to help manage cash flow.

Several commissioners weighed in against making any changes to the fiscal year. “I don’t think we can take the risk,” Leah Gunn said.

Other Revenue Factors: CPI, Property Taxes

Guenzel said the county looks at several factors when trying to project property tax revenue. Among them are changes that occurred the previous year, housing values, building permits, median income and general economic indicators like unemployment and the stock market. They also project changes in the CPI (the consumer price index, an indicator of inflation), which they estimated to be 4.4% this year, though that shows signs of dropping. Later in the discussion, commissioner Conan Smith cited the importance of CPI, noting that a higher CPI results in more revenue for the county. However, annualizing the data based on the first part of this year, the CPI would come in at only 1.6% for 2009.

Guenzel also talked about property tax projections, noting that residential property taxes account for about 65% of the total property taxes collected. Here again, the news was not good. The county projects a 10% drop in residential SEV, or state equalized value – the amount at which a property is assessed. In addition, new residential construction has stalled – only 238 residential building permits were issued in Washtenaw County last year, down from a peak of 2,758 in 2004.

Also important is the gap between SEV and taxable value. For about 49% of properties in the county, SEV equals taxable value, Guenzel said. That means if a property owner’s assessment decreases, so will their taxes. For all other homeowners, even if their assessment goes down, their taxes could increase as much as the rate of inflation. [The Citizens Research Council of Michigan, an independent nonprofit, provides a decent primer on Michigan's tax system, including information on Proposal A, which places a cap on taxable value.]

The county’s commercial tax base is also a challenge. Top taxpayers in that category include Pfizer, General Motors and Ford/Visteon. Pfizer’s sale of its Ann Arbor research campus to the University of Michigan will take it off the tax roles completely.

Property Tax Assumptions

Guenzel presented a range of revenue projections, and asked commissioners for their feedback – i.e., what projections would commissioners like the staff to use when preparing their budget:

  • CPI in a range of 3.5% to 0%
  • Percentage of properties in which SEV equals taxable value. County staff estimates that the current 49% will increase each fiscal year as property values decline.
  • Projected percentage changes in SEV for 2010 through 2012. For the total county SEV, the ranges are: -6.8% to -9% in 2010, -5% to -10% in 2011, and -3% to -8% in 2012.
  • Estimated change in taxable value, which is the most important factor, Guenzel said: a range between -3.75% to -8% in 2010, -3% to -10% in 2011, -2% to -7% in 2012, and 0% to -3% in 2013.

Commissioner Discussion

Leah Gunn said the county should be “ultra, ultra conservative” in terms of its revenue projections, noting that if they aren’t, they’ll be making major budget adjustments as each year unfolds. “It’s easier to adjust up than to adjust down,” she said.

Barbara Levin Bergman agreed, saying that they need to prepare for the worst-case scenario. She also said she hoped that budget cuts would be applied surgically, rather than across the board.

Jessica Ping, one of only two Republicans on the 11-member board, joked that she was a bit surprised to hear Commissioner Gunn use the word “conservative.”

Mark Ouimet, the board’s other Republican commissioner, agreed that they should err on the side of caution. He added that if they select the lower revenue target, the result will be a fairly significant burn rate on capital. They need to plan for that soon, or they won’t have the capital to “ride this thing down.”

When Ouimet ended his comments by saying he was trying to come up with something positive to say, Conan Smith quipped: “You could go with, ‘See? The conservatives are right!’”

After commissioners Kristin Judge and Ken Schwartz said they agreed with setting cautious projections, Jeff Irwin voiced a slightly more moderate view. He said that although almost 50% of homes will have their taxes lowered, that means the other 50 percent still have the “Proposal A spread” and will see a tax increase, which translates to more revenue for the county. He said that taking the worst-case scenario might lead to shortchanging departments and services, when the county doesn’t need to go that far. And some indicators, he noted, aren’t as horrific as others.

Smith asked if anyone wanted to estimate the impact that the federal stimulus package will have on CPI, to which Wes Prater replied, “Not as much as you’d think.” Smith added that he thought the CPI will be strong enough to pull the county’s revenues into the middle-low target area.

Bergman asked Guenzel to comment on the 2009 budget, wondering whether they should start looking at cuts now. “I’m no longer sanguine that we’re ok in ’09 when we’re so not ok in the future,” she said.

“We may not be ok for ’09,” Guenzel replied. They won’t know the county’s property tax revenue for the year until April, he said, and might have to make adjustments based on those numbers. He said he didn’t think the board could wait until Jan. 1, 2010 to take action.

Rolland Sizemore Jr., the board chair, had the last word in this discussion, saying that he promised that they’d look at cuts from the top levels of the administration to the bottom. He said they needed to start talking about those decisions now.

Options for Revenue Reforms

Guenzel asked the county’s corporate counsel, Curtis Hedger, to go over some possible longer-term changes that could help on the revenue side.

Headlee Override: Hedger began with a bit of history, noting that the county’s 5.5 millage rate was set in 1964. But since the Headlee Amendment passed in 1978, that rate by law has been gradually rolled back to offset property assessment increases. The current rate is 4.5493 mills.

An override, which would need to be approved by voters, could reset the millage up to its original rate of 5.5 mills. To do that, the county would have to specify what those funds would be used for. But as soon as the rate was reset, it would again be subject to the gradual Headlee rollbacks. And it’s unclear whether voters would give their approval.

Millage Reapportionment: Countywide, there’s a limit of 18 mills in total that can be levied by all taxing entities, including the county, townships and others. In 1964, Hedger said, a county tax allocation board was formed to determine how to allocate the 18 mills – of that total, the county’s rate was set at 5.5 mills. Commissioners could reconstitute that board, Hedger said, to allocate new rates. The risk, of course, is that the allocation board could set the county’s rate at a new, lower level.

In addition to the two longer-term options described by Hedger, Guenzel said that other revenue-generating options include a new millage dedicated to operating costs, and, more broadly, sustained economic growth. County departments could also consider increasing fees, increasing their rate of collections, and adding programming. Outside funding opportunities include anticipated funding from the federal stimulus package, federal and state earmarks and grants, among others.

Guenzel also said that staff was looking at generating revenue from within the county’s infrastructure, such as selling buildings, renting out unused county-owned space, and decreasing or eliminating its leased spaces. “We’re seriously looking at our space issues,” Guenzel said, noting that the building on Zeeb Road was only half full, and that the 15th District Court will vacate the county courthouse sometime in 2010, and would be available for use in 2011.

Selling property might be helpful, he said, but it’s not a structural savings. However, he added, reducing the county’s building footprint would save on operating expenses. Guenzel said he’d asked some local brokers, on a pro bono basis, to look at what county properties might sell.

Sizemore said he wanted to see a plan related to property sales sooner rather than later. Ouimet said they’d probably hear from brokers that it’s not the right time to sell because of the market, but he said it’s a good time to assess the county’s future space needs, while getting rid of excess real estate.

Ping wanted to know what county-owned space is being used by other organizations at no charge, and to see what they could ask in rent instead.

At the end of their discussion, Guenzel said his staff would bring back a plan for revenue projections based on what they’d heard from commissioners, noting that it was always subject to revision based on changing conditions.

Smith said that this was the only substantive discussion the board had planned related to the revenue side of the budget. Ping, who chairs the board’s working sessions, said they could always discuss budget issues at that venue, if needed.

Sizemore asked Washtenaw County sheriff Jerry Clayton, who was in the audience, whether he could give commissioners an update on how the county’s criminal justice system would be affected by Gov. Jennifer Granholm’s proposal to cut the state’s Department of Corrections. Clayton said he expected it would have some impact locally, but that the proposal would undoubtedly be changed as the budget moved through the state legislature, so it was too soon to tell. He said his department would plan some kind of strategic response, whatever those final numbers are.

Sizemore said he’d like to hear from other elected officials too, including county prosecutor Brian Mackie, treasurer Catherine McClary and water resources commissioner Janis Bobrin. Smith reported that Guenzel was already setting up those meetings.

Bergman said she felt she must fire a shot across the bow, stating that it wasn’t right that the commission – before it even dealt with the 2010 budget – had already approved a rate for what the county charges the townships for police services. She said she used to read her children a book about a lion and an alligator in a swamp. The lion said to the alligator: “There is an old saying, I know that it’s true, you can’t have your friends and eat them all too.”

Gunn cited several examples of nonprofits that are struggling to keep up with demand for their services. “It’s getting tough out there,” she said, later adding, “we are the government of last resort.”

Public Comment

The only person to comment during the times set aside for public comment was Tyrone Bridges, who runs a program in Ypsilanti that teaches at-risk youth how to build computers. He said he’d recently tried to apply for a $6,500 community development block grant, and was told that he wasn’t eligible because his group hadn’t been audited. “I’m asking someone to help me,” he said, saying he was tired of having doors slammed in his face as he was trying to help kids who might otherwise get into trouble.

Several commissioners expressed sympathy and support for Bridges and his program, and said they’d do what they could but that they couldn’t promise him money. Commissioner Ronnie Peterson, whose district represents Ypsilanti, said that perhaps it was time to review this policy of requiring an audit. Saying that Gunn had whispered into his ear, Peterson informed Bridges that the two of them would pay for an audit, and that he’d provide a referral to an accountant. Referring to the other commissioners, Peterson quipped, “We’ll give tonight – we’ll ask them next time.”

Executive Session

At the end of their meeting, the board went into a closed session to discuss the settlement strategy for its police services litigation with Augusta, Salem and Ypsilanti townships. The county has not publicly announced how it will respond following a legal victory in the case. The state Court of Appeals ordered a lower court to calculate how much the townships owe the county for unpaid services, plus interest – an amount could top $2 million, not including legal fees. However, the townships have the option of appealing to the state Supreme Court. The board emerged from its executive session with no announcement about the case.

Present: Barbara Levin Bergman, Leah Gunn, Jeff Irwin, Kristin Judge, Mark Ouimet, Ronnie Peterson, Jessica Ping, Wes Prater, Ken Schwartz, Rolland Sizemore Jr., Conan Smith

Next board meeting: Wednesday, March 4 at 6:30 p.m. at the County Administration Building, 220 N. Main St. The Ways & Means Committee meets first, followed immediately by the regular board meeting.  [confirm date] (Though the agenda states that the regular board meeting begins at 6:45 p.m., it usually starts much later – times vary depending on what’s on the agenda.) Public comment sessions are held at the beginning and end of each meeting.

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